by Durnford Fri Apr 10, 2015 8:43 am
Simple fact is though if Alloa do beat Dumbarton then we may need something from the rangers and/or Hibs matches to get to eighth place (and that's assuming we get full points from Cowdenbeath; Raith and QoS which we are capable of doing but is still a bit of an ask).
However if we win on Saturday and Alloa lose then its really game on. Cowdenbeath are unlikely to get anything from Hearts whilst Alloa will be facing QoS at home (a difficult tie as they will be fighting for fourth place) and Hibs away. It's quite feasible that neither team will pick up another point before the end of the season clash between them both.
That would leave Cowdenbeath on 25 and Alloa on 20 with a further three point to play for.
Now if we'd already won against Cowdenbeath and Raith that would put us on 23 giving us a maximum total of 26 with a last day win over QoS (who by that time may well be settled in fourth place).
Obviously in this scenario we'd be wanting Alloa to win or draw their last match almost certainly putting us in eighth but Alloa would have nothing to play for so basically it could be better for Alloa to win against Dunbarton or QoS but not both.
Irrespective there is the chance that Cowdenbeath will win the Alloa encounter Giving them a potential score of 28 points meaning we need 11 point from our last 5 games - Phew.
And the unthinkable - losing to Cowdenbeath on Saturday means that the best we could hope for would be ninth place (unless of course we beat the rangers and Hibs)....